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ORA:EURONEXT PARISOrange SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

$131.78

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ormat Technologies posted a record first‑quarter 2026 revenue surge of 75.8% YoY, driven by explosive growth in its energy‑storage and product divisions, and the results comfortably beat analyst earnings expectations. Revenue now sits above $1.16 billion with operating margins expanding to roughly 21%, underscoring the company’s improving profitability. The stock is trading at $131.78, comfortably above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs (121.19, 115.07 and 109.22 respectively), while the RSI of 66.9 and a bullish MACD histogram (+1.17) signal continued upward momentum. Volume is on an increasing trend, adding confirmation to the technical strength, and the price remains well above the identified support level of $109.63, leaving ample upside before the $138.52 resistance. Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a mean target of $135.45, reflecting confidence in the growth narrative. However, the valuation metrics tell a different story: a trailing P/E of 63.7 versus an industry average of 21.6, and a DCF‑derived fair value of $85.08, suggest the market is pricing in a premium that may be difficult to sustain. The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (≈125) and total debt exceeding $3.4 billion, which could pressure cash flows, yet the dividend payout ratio is modest at 23%, making the 0.36% yield appear sustainable. Volatility is elevated at ~39% over the past 30 days, though beta under 1 (0.82) indicates less systematic risk than the market. Geographic exposure across North America, Europe, Asia and Africa adds diversification but also introduces medium‑level geopolitical and currency considerations. Overall, the company blends strong near‑term growth catalysts with a premium valuation and moderate risk profile, warranting a nuanced investment stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Record Q1 revenue growth and earnings beat
  • Bullish technical indicators (price above SMAs, MACD bullish, rising volume)
  • Support level well below current price providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue acceleration but valuation premium to peers
  • High debt load that may limit free cash flow
  • Renewable‑energy tailwinds supporting long‑term demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Secular growth of geothermal and energy‑storage markets
  • Potential valuation compression as P/E normalizes
  • Modest but sustainable dividend providing income component

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth75.80%
Profit Margin10.96%
P/E Ratio63.7
ROE4.91%
ROA2.03%
Debt/Equity125.51
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow$325.7M
Free Cash Flow$-178817120
Industry P/E21.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI66.9
Support$109.63
Resistance$138.52
MA 20$121.19
MA 50$115.07
MA 200$109.22
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.57

Valuation

Fair Value$85.08
Target Price$135.45
Upside/Downside2.79%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.36%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.82
Volatility39.44%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.